The labor market effects of worker outflow: Evidence from Hungary
We investigate how a large-scale outflow of workers affect the reaming workforce. We use Hungarian administrative social security data on the opening of the Austrian labor market to Hungarian workers as a natural experiment. We find that the opening of the Austrian border increased wages by 1 percent and decreased employment by 5 percent in […]
Adolescent Core Self-Evaluation and Adult Interpersonal Trust: Evidence from the 1970 British Cohort Study
This paper investigates whether adolescents’ core self-evaluation (CSE), a broad personality construct capturing individuals’ appraisal of their self-worth and capabilities, predicts interpersonal trust decades later. Using nationally representative longitudinal data from the 1970 British Cohort Study, we construct CSE measures from self-esteem, locus of control, and emotional stability at age 16 and examine their relationship […]
A One-Sentence Nudge Against Present Focus
We test whether a single, neutral sentence reduces present-focused intertemporal choices. In a pre-registered classroom experiment (N=210) at Corvinus University of Budapest, first-year students made eight incentivized choices between a smaller immediate amount and larger amounts in two weeks. The treatment added a one-line, non-directive prompt—“Think carefully about all the possibilities that money would provide […]
The impact of heat and cold on excess mortality and life expectancy in Europe, 2015–2024
This paper analyzes the effects of temperatures on mortality and life expectancy using data on 40 million deaths across 73 geographic regions in 28 European countries between 2015 and 2024. The findings indicate that both cold and hot temperatures increase mortality rates, with cold having a stronger overall effect. Heat-related mortality tends to be immediate, […]
Exploring the role of age structure in regional population change of the Visegrad Group
Csaba G. Tóth, József Lennert Abstract: A caveat of much of the existing demographic literature is that it decomposes population change into the components of fertility, mortality, and migration, treating ageing merely as a consequence of natural change while neglecting the role of age structure in the observed dynamics. This study applies a scenario-based decomposition […]
The positive effect of moral self-concept on fraudulent behavior and the need for moral cleansing
Tamás Keller , Péter Szakál Sci Rep 15, 31898 (2025) Abstract: Both moral cleansing and moral licensing theories suggest that moral self-concept positively influences subsequent engagement in fraudulent behavior. Specifically, a decrease in moral self-concept reduces dishonesty (moral cleansing), while an increase promotes it (moral licensing). However, within these theoretical frameworks, prior research has rarely […]
How to encourage people to follow a climate-friendly diet? Increase social cohesion!
Zsófia Benedek – Lajos Baráth – Imre Fertő – Zoltán Bakucs Sustainable Futures, Vol. 10. Art. No. 101106 (2025) Abstract Reducing meat consumption is increasingly recognized as a necessary strategy for mitigating climate change and improving public health. While motivations to reduce meat intake are well documented, few studies have integrated these with basic human […]
Apportionment methods in resource allocation
László Á. Kóczy – Tamás Koltai – Balázs R. Sziklai Omega, Vol. 138. Art. No. 103403. (2026) Abstract The efficient use of resources is of paramount importance in any organization, and this is especially true of the use of human resources. We are considering an organization with a fixed number of workers over a network […]
Beyond the degree : fertility outcomes of ‘first in family’ graduates
Anna Adamecz – Anna Lovász – Sunčica Vujić Review of Economics of the Household (2025) Abstract This paper examines the link between higher education and fertility, paying particular attention to the role of intergenerational educational mobility in shaping this relationship. Drawing on data from the 1970 British Cohort Study, we estimate differences in completed fertility across […]
Immigrant-native pay gap driven by lack of access to high-paying jobs
Are Skeie Hermansen – Andrew Penner – István Boza [et al.] Nature (2025) Abstract Immigrants to high-income countries often face considerable and persistent difficulties in the labour market, whereas their native-born children typically experience economic progress. However, little is known about the extent to which these immigrant–native earnings differences stem from unequal pay when doing […]
Navigating AI-Driven Financial Forecasting: A Systematic Review of Current Status and Critical Research Gaps
László Vancsura – Tibor Tatay – Tibor Bareith Forecasting, Vol. 7. No. 3. 49 p. (2025) Abstract This systematic literature review explores the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in financial market forecasting, with a focus on four asset classes: equities, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and foreign exchange markets. Guided by the PRISMA methodology, […]
Competitiveness analysis of ESG qualified investment funds available in Hungary
László Vancsura – Tibor Bareith Pénzügyi Szemle/Public Finance Quarterly, Vol. 71. No. 2. pp. 50-75. (2025) Abstract The aim of this study is to examine the factors influencing the annual returns and total expense ratio (TER) of equity funds operating in Hungary, with a particular focus on funds with ESG ratings. The study is based on data […]
