School to Jail Transition – Early Warnings from the Primary School
This study investigates the predictors of incarceration among a cohort of Hungarian primary school students aged 14-15, followed until they are 23-24 years old. We analyze how school quality (including mean test performance and peer characteristics), exclusionary practices, and school/student non-compliance affect the likelihood of incarceration, time spent in prison, and recidivism. Employing linear (OLS) […]
Was There a Fiscal Free Lunch in Hungary between 1999-2019?
This paper investigates whether there have been time periods between 1999 and 2019 in Hungary when government spending has been self-financing, i.e., when the government has faced a fiscal free lunch. By self-financing, it is meant that government spending, initially financed by issuing bonds, does not lead to an increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio due […]
Exploring gender and geographic wage inequalities based on full career sequences
Substantive literature examined the gender wage gap, its components and how it changes over time. The decisions that workers make in their career paths when changing occupations, entering new industries or moving to another municipality, have a major impact on the evolution of their wage trajectories. Women and men follow different typical paths across industries […]
The Effect of Air Pollution on Fertility in 657 European Regions
This study examines the impact of ambient air pollution on birth rates in Europe. We estimate the causal effect of air pollution on fertility by utilizing variations in wind speed and the number of heating days as instrumental variables for air quality. Our analysis encompasses 657 NUTS-3 regions, with each region having 2 to 6 […]
Delayed school entry increases internal locus of control
We study the impact of delayed school entry on the locus of control (LoC) among Hungarian students, using statutory cutoff dates for school enrollment as a plausibly exogenous variation. Our findings indicate a causal relationship between delayed school entry and an increase in internal LoC, with a policy effect of approximately one-tenth of a standard […]
The Role of Competition, Earned Money and Personal Characteristics in Climate Games
Using different variants of the classic climate game, we investigate the role of competition and the source of endowment (windfall vs. earned). Participants completed a detailed personality test (including climate attitudes and economic preferences) before the experiment and were asked about their strategies afterwards. We find that competition did not significantly affect whether groups reached […]
Powerful Parental Preferences
In this study, we examine how parents’ educational aspirations for their offspring (referred to as parental preferences) are related to university attendance. Even after controlling for the cognitive abilities of the child, we document a considerable variation in parental preferences, which are, in turn, strongly associated with university attendance. Utilizing regressions based on machine learning […]
The Role of Flexible Wage Components in Gender Wage Differences
A main driver of the gender wage gap is that women earn a lower firm-specific wage premium than men. We document the role of flexible wage components in driving both within-firm and between-firm gender differences in firm premia. For this purpose, we link wage survey data on performance payments and overtime to an administrative linked […]
Heterogeneity of Economic Expectations – Dissecting the Role of Socioeconomic Status
Economic decisions depend on economic expectations. Using Hungarian monthly survey data between 2000 and 2009, we show that the relationship between expectations (both at the macroeconomic and household levels) and socioeconomic status (SES), as represented by income rank and education level, is non-linear. In many instances, there is no significant difference in expectations between the […]
Health Shocks, Social Insurance, and Firms
We study the role that firms play in social insurance benefit uptake after their workers experience health shocks. Social insurance in our setting, Hungary, is universal and comprehensive, thus allowing us to quantify the impact of firms on benefit uptake and labor market outcomes on top of the social safety net. Using matched employer-employee administrative […]
Regional resilience and the network structure of inter-industry labour flows
This paper explores how the network structure of local inter-industry labour flows relates to regional economic resilience across 72 local labour markets in Sweden. Drawing on recent advancements in network science, we stress-test these networks against the sequential elimination of their nodes, finding substantial heterogeneity in network robustness across regions. Regression analysis with LASSO selection […]
What makes a new doctor better? Effects of new primary care physicians on healthcare provision
Using individual-level administrative panel data of all diabetic patients in Hungary for years 2010-2017, we analyze the effects of primary care characteristics on healthcare provision in rural areas by exploiting the change of the person of the general practitioner (GP), be it a temporary substitution or a permanent new doctor. We estimate event study models […]
